Probability Part II
$$ \gdef\dx{\mathrm{d}x} \gdef\dm{\mathrm{d}m} \gdef\dr{\mathrm{d}r} $$ $\gdef\dx{\mathrm{d}x}$ $\gdef\dm{\mathrm{d}m}$ $\gdef\dr{\mathrm{d}r}$ Intro Last time, in Part I, we covered the basic concepts leading up to random variables and their distributions. In this post, things will start to get cracking as we build up to the law of the unconscious statistician, the law of large numbers, and Monte Carlo integration. Along the way, we’ll introduce the following terms: Term Notation Expected Value of $X$ under distribution $p$ $\mathbb{E}_p[X]$ Variance of $X$ under distribution $p$ $\mathbb{V}_p[X]$ Expected Value The expected value $\mathbb{E}_p[X]$ of a random variable $X$ with distribution $p$ is the probability-weighted average of its possible values. Intuitively, it represents the average value we would observe over many independent repetitions of the same experiment. ...